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Geometric-Stochastic Multimodal Deep Learning for Predictive Modeling of SUDEP and Stroke Vulnerability

Girish, Preksha, Mysore, Rachana, U, Mahanthesha, Kumar, Shrey, Annigeri, Misbah Fatimah, Jain, Tanish

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy (SUDEP) and acute ischemic stroke are life-threatening conditions involving complex interactions across cortical, brainstem, and autonomic systems. We present a unified geometric-stochastic multimodal deep learning framework that integrates EEG, ECG, respiration, SpO2, EMG, and fMRI signals to model SUDEP and stroke vulnerability. The approach combines Riemannian manifold embeddings, Lie-group invariant feature representations, fractional stochastic dynamics, Hamiltonian energy-flow modeling, and cross-modal attention mechanisms. Stroke propagation is modeled using fractional epidemic diffusion over structural brain graphs. Experiments on the MULTI-CLARID dataset demonstrate improved predictive accuracy and interpretable biomarkers derived from manifold curvature, fractional memory indices, attention entropy, and diffusion centrality. The proposed framework provides a mathematically principled foundation for early detection, risk stratification, and interpretable multimodal modeling in neural-autonomic disorders.


Non-Contact Health Monitoring During Daily Personal Care Routines

Ma, Xulin, Tang, Jiankai, Jiang, Zhang, Cheng, Songqin, Shi, Yuanchun, LI, Dong, Liu, Xin, McDuff, Daniel, Liu, Xiaojing, Wang, Yuntao

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Abstract--Remote photoplethysmography (rPPG) enables non-contact, continuous monitoring of physiological signals and offers a practical alternative to traditional health sensing methods. Although rPPG is promising for daily health monitoring, its application in long-term personal care scenarios--such as mirror-facing routines in high-altitude environments--remains challenging due to ambient lighting variations, frequent occlusions from hand movements, and dynamic facial postures. T o address these challenges, we present the Long-term Altitude Daily Health (LADH) dataset, the first long-term rPPG dataset containing 240 synchronized RGB and infrared (IR) facial videos from 21 participants across five common personal care scenarios, along with ground-truth PPG, respiration, and blood oxygen signals. Our experiments demonstrate that combining RGB and IR video inputs improves the accuracy and robustness of non-contact physiological monitoring, achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.99 BPM in heart rate estimation. Furthermore, we find that multi-task learning enhances performance across multiple physiological indicators simultaneously.


Path-specific effects for pulse-oximetry guided decisions in critical care

Zhang, Kevin, Jung, Yonghan, Mahajan, Divyat, Shanmugam, Karthikeyan, Joshi, Shalmali

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Identifying and measuring biases associated with sensitive attributes is a crucial consideration in healthcare to prevent treatment disparities. One prominent issue is inaccurate pulse oximeter readings, which tend to overestimate oxygen saturation for dark-skinned patients and misrepresent supplemental oxygen needs. Most existing research has revealed statistical disparities linking device errors to patient outcomes in intensive care units (ICUs) without causal formalization. In contrast, this study causally investigates how racial discrepancies in oximetry measurements affect invasive ventilation in ICU settings. We employ a causal inference-based approach using path-specific effects to isolate the impact of bias by race on clinical decision-making. To estimate these effects, we leverage a doubly robust estimator, propose its self-normalized variant for improved sample efficiency, and provide novel finite-sample guarantees. Our methodology is validated on semi-synthetic data and applied to two large real-world health datasets: MIMIC-IV and eICU. Contrary to prior work, our analysis reveals minimal impact of racial discrepancies on invasive ventilation rates. However, path-specific effects mediated by oxygen saturation disparity are more pronounced on ventilation duration, and the severity differs by dataset. Our work provides a novel and practical pipeline for investigating potential disparities in the ICU and, more crucially, highlights the necessity of causal methods to robustly assess fairness in decision-making.


Remote Blood Oxygen Estimation From Videos Using Neural Networks

Mathew, Joshua, Tian, Xin, Wu, Min, Wong, Chau-Wai

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Blood oxygen saturation (SpO$_2$) is an essential indicator of respiratory functionality and is receiving increasing attention during the COVID-19 pandemic. Clinical findings show that it is possible for COVID-19 patients to have significantly low SpO$_2$ before any obvious symptoms. The prevalence of cameras has motivated researchers to investigate methods for monitoring SpO$_2$ using videos. Most prior schemes involving smartphones are contact-based: They require a fingertip to cover the phone's camera and the nearby light source to capture re-emitted light from the illuminated tissue. In this paper, we propose the first convolutional neural network based noncontact SpO$_2$ estimation scheme using smartphone cameras. The scheme analyzes the videos of a participant's hand for physiological sensing, which is convenient and comfortable, and can protect their privacy and allow for keeping face masks on. We design our neural network architectures inspired by the optophysiological models for SpO$_2$ measurement and demonstrate the explainability by visualizing the weights for channel combination. Our proposed models outperform the state-of-the-art model that is designed for contact-based SpO$_2$ measurement, showing the potential of our proposed method to contribute to public health. We also analyze the impact of skin type and the side of a hand on SpO$_2$ estimation performance.


Evaluating the Impact of Pulse Oximetry Bias in Machine Learning under Counterfactual Thinking

Martins, Inês, Matos, João, Gonçalves, Tiago, Celi, Leo A., Wong, A. Ian, Cardoso, Jaime S.

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Algorithmic bias in healthcare mirrors existing data biases. However, the factors driving unfairness are not always known. Medical devices capture significant amounts of data but are prone to errors; for instance, pulse oximeters overestimate the arterial oxygen saturation of darker-skinned individuals, leading to worse outcomes. The impact of this bias in machine learning (ML) models remains unclear. This study addresses the technical challenges of quantifying the impact of medical device bias in downstream ML. Our experiments compare a "perfect world", without pulse oximetry bias, using SaO2 (blood-gas), to the "actual world", with biased measurements, using SpO2 (pulse oximetry). Under this counterfactual design, two models are trained with identical data, features, and settings, except for the method of measuring oxygen saturation: models using SaO2 are a "control" and models using SpO2 a "treatment". The blood-gas oximetry linked dataset was a suitable test-bed, containing 163,396 nearly-simultaneous SpO2 - SaO2 paired measurements, aligned with a wide array of clinical features and outcomes. We studied three classification tasks: in-hospital mortality, respiratory SOFA score in the next 24 hours, and SOFA score increase by two points. Models using SaO2 instead of SpO2 generally showed better performance. Patients with overestimation of O2 by pulse oximetry of > 3% had significant decreases in mortality prediction recall, from 0.63 to 0.59, P < 0.001. This mirrors clinical processes where biased pulse oximetry readings provide clinicians with false reassurance of patients' oxygen levels. A similar degradation happened in ML models, with pulse oximetry biases leading to more false negatives in predicting adverse outcomes.


Methodology for Interpretable Reinforcement Learning for Optimizing Mechanical Ventilation

Lee, Joo Seung, Mahendra, Malini, Aswani, Anil

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Mechanical ventilation is a critical life-support intervention that uses a machine to deliver controlled air and oxygen to a patient's lungs, assisting or replacing spontaneous breathing. While several data-driven approaches have been proposed to optimize ventilator control strategies, they often lack interpretability and agreement with general domain knowledge. This paper proposes a methodology for interpretable reinforcement learning (RL) using decision trees for mechanical ventilation control. Using a causal, nonparametric model-based off-policy evaluation, we evaluate the policies in their ability to gain increases in SpO2 while avoiding aggressive ventilator settings which are known to cause ventilator induced lung injuries and other complications. Numerical experiments using MIMIC-III data on the stays of real patients' intensive care unit stays demonstrate that the decision tree policy outperforms the behavior cloning policy and is comparable to state-of-the-art RL policy. Future work concerns better aligning the cost function with medical objectives to generate deeper clinical insights.


ReViSe: Remote Vital Signs Measurement Using Smartphone Camera

Qiao, Donghao, Ayesha, Amtul Haq, Zulkernine, Farhana, Masroor, Raihan, Jaffar, Nauman

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose an end-to-end framework to measure people's vital signs including Heart Rate (HR), Heart Rate Variability (HRV), Oxygen Saturation (SpO2) and Blood Pressure (BP) based on the rPPG methodology from the video of a user's face captured with a smartphone camera. We extract face landmarks with a deep learning-based neural network model in real-time. Multiple face patches also called Regions-of-Interest (RoIs) are extracted by using the predicted face landmarks. Several filters are applied to reduce the noise from the RoIs in the extracted cardiac signals called Blood Volume Pulse (BVP) signal. The measurements of HR, HRV and SpO2 are validated on two public rPPG datasets namely the TokyoTech rPPG and the Pulse Rate Detection (PURE) datasets, on which our models achieved the following Mean Absolute Errors (MAE): a) for HR, 1.73Beats-Per-Minute (bpm) and 3.95bpm respectively; b) for HRV, 18.55ms and 25.03ms respectively, and c) for SpO2, an MAE of 1.64% on the PURE dataset. We validated our end-to-end rPPG framework, ReViSe, in daily living environment, and thereby created the Video-HR dataset. Our HR estimation model achieved an MAE of 2.49bpm on this dataset. Since no publicly available rPPG datasets existed for BP measurement with face videos, we used a dataset with signals from fingertip sensor to train our deep learning-based BP estimation model and also created our own video dataset, Video-BP. On our Video-BP dataset, our BP estimation model achieved an MAE of 6.7mmHg for Systolic Blood Pressure (SBP), and an MAE of 9.6mmHg for Diastolic Blood Pressure (DBP). ReViSe framework has been validated on datasets with videos recorded in daily living environment as opposed to less noisy laboratory environment as reported by most state-of-the-art techniques.


Predicting Intraoperative Hypoxemia with Hybrid Inference Sequence Autoencoder Networks

Liu, Hanyang, Montana, Michael C., Li, Dingwen, Renfroe, Chase, Kannampallil, Thomas, Lu, Chenyang

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We present an end-to-end model using streaming physiological time series to predict near-term risk for hypoxemia, a rare, but life-threatening condition known to cause serious patient harm during surgery. Inspired by the fact that a hypoxemia event is defined based on a future sequence of low SpO2 (i.e., blood oxygen saturation) instances, we propose the hybrid inference network (hiNet) that makes hybrid inference on both future low SpO2 instances and hypoxemia outcomes. hiNet integrates 1) a joint sequence autoencoder that simultaneously optimizes a discriminative decoder for label prediction, and 2) two auxiliary decoders trained for data reconstruction and forecast, which seamlessly learn contextual latent representations that capture the transition from present states to future states. All decoders share a memory-based encoder that helps capture the global dynamics of patient measurement. For a large surgical cohort of 72,081 surgeries at a major academic medical center, our model outperforms strong baselines including the model used by the state-of-the-art hypoxemia prediction system. With its capability to make real-time predictions of near-term hypoxemic at clinically acceptable alarm rates, hiNet shows promise in improving clinical decision making and easing burden of perioperative care.


A Web Application for Experimenting and Validating Remote Measurement of Vital Signs

Ayesha, Amtul Haq, Qiao, Donghao, Zulkernine, Farhana

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With a surge in online medical advising remote monitoring of patient vitals is required. This can be facilitated with the Remote Photoplethysmography (rPPG) techniques that compute vital signs from facial videos. It involves processing video frames to obtain skin pixels, extracting the cardiac data from it and applying signal processing filters to extract the Blood Volume Pulse (BVP) signal. Different algorithms are applied to the BVP signal to estimate the various vital signs. We implemented a web application framework to measure a person's Heart Rate (HR), Heart Rate Variability (HRV), Oxygen Saturation (SpO2), Respiration Rate (RR), Blood Pressure (BP), and stress from the face video. The rPPG technique is highly sensitive to illumination and motion variation. The web application guides the users to reduce the noise due to these variations and thereby yield a cleaner BVP signal. The accuracy and robustness of the framework was validated with the help of volunteers.


Early prediction of respiratory failure in the intensive care unit

Hüser, Matthias, Faltys, Martin, Lyu, Xinrui, Barber, Chris, Hyland, Stephanie L., Merz, Tobias M., Rätsch, Gunnar

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The development of respiratory failure is common among patients in intensive care units (ICU). Large data quantities from ICU patient monitoring systems make timely and comprehensive analysis by clinicians difficult but are ideal for automatic processing by machine learning algorithms. Early prediction of respiratory system failure could alert clinicians to patients at risk of respiratory failure and allow for early patient reassessment and treatment adjustment. We propose an early warning system that predicts moderate/severe respiratory failure up to 8 hours in advance. Our system was trained on HiRID-II, a data-set containing more than 60,000 admissions to a tertiary care ICU. An alarm is typically triggered several hours before the beginning of respiratory failure. Our system outperforms a clinical baseline mimicking traditional clinical decision-making based on pulse-oximetric oxygen saturation and the fraction of inspired oxygen. To provide model introspection and diagnostics, we developed an easy-to-use web browser-based system to explore model input data and predictions visually.